Buffalo Bills 2024 win total, Super Bowl odds, Josh Allen props & more from FanDuel 2024 Futures

Buffalo Bills 2024 win total, Super Bowl odds, Josh Allen props & more from FanDuel 2024 Futures

there are a bunch of interesting betting lines and props for the Buffalo Bills in 2024 and we’re exploring them all today on lock on bills you are locked on bills your daily Buffalo Bills podcast part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day what’s up bills Mafia it’s Joe Marino author of go bills and Buffalo’s run also the co-host of the locked on NFL scouting podcast and I’m your host of locked on bills want to thank you for making lockon bills your first listen every day and a big welcome and shout out to our every dayers you know who you are those of you who never miss a single episode I appreciate y’all being here very very much I’d also like to invite you to subscribe or follow for free on YouTube or wherever you listen to podcast we’re part of the locked on podcast Network your team every day today’s episode is brought to you by FanDuel make every moment more as the playoffs wind down the Sports Stop sporting like we want them to but this summer FanDuel is hooking up all customers with a booster bonus daily that’s right there’s something for everyone every day all summer long just visit fanduel.com lockon to get started well folks welcome in I want to explore the props and Bing lines available for the Buffalo Bills in 2024 FanDuel has put together a bunch of different Futures bets that you can take on the bills and so I want to look at them talk about them see what I like see what I don’t like and have some fun looking at the bills upcoming season through the lens of FanDuel Sportsbook so let’s dive into it we’ll first get into some team success odds right the Bills win total chances to win the AFC East chances to win the Super Bowl then we’ll get into some player props so like stat projections for Josh Allen dton con James Cook and then they have some really cool team specials that you could check out so we’re going to get into all of it literally right now let’s start with I what I mentioned the team success odds and they have the bills over under for wins set at 10 and a half so 10 and a half is where the over under for wins lies for the Buffalo Bills that’s the second highest projected over under for wins in the league so what’s the p to getting the over here right that’s what I’m interested in how did the Bills get to 11 or more wins I think there’s a very straightforward path you start with the division you have six division games I think you you go four- two in the division right like not worse hopefully better but I think 4- two is a reasonable projection for the bills in the AFC East take both against the Patriots and at a minimum split versus the Jets and the Dolphins knowing that you could sweep them both but four wins in the division then I think you got to win two very obvious home games you host Arizona you host Tennessee got to take care of your business in those games at home that gets you to six wins we need 11 so we need five more wins can you just go five and four in the rest of the games you have Jacksonville Kansas City and the 49ers at home and on the road you have the Ravens Texas Seahawks Colts Rams and lions can you go five and four in those games because I’m not a math guy but I can do four plus 2 is six plus five is 11 I think that’s your very clear path to getting to 11 wins now it’s never chalk it’s it’s never just as straightforward as that might seem right maybe you go three and three in division now you got to go six and three in those other games maybe you go five- one in the division and all of a sudden now you got a little bit more margin for err with the other games of course to get to the 11 so I think the over can hit here um but I might stay away because the bills might win exactly 10 games so I think they got the line in the right spot I could talk myself into the over or the under but I wanted to kind of explain the path to hitting the over here at least in terms of how I saw that they have the Buffalo Bills at plus 165 to win the AFC East that is the best odds of any team in the AFC East but it is the tightest overall situation in the entire NFL so the bills are plus 165 they have the Jets at plus 185 and the bills at plus 165 Jets at 185 that’s the tightest odds from one to two of any division in the NFL according to FanDuel and then the Dolphins aren’t far behind they are at plus 210 which is by far the tightest odds among the top three teams in the division and then you have the Patriots down there at Plus 2700 So the FanDuel sports book certainly has the AFC East as the divisional race that appears to be the tightest of any at least in how they project things going into the season I think the bills absolutely have the capacity to win a fifth straight AFC East title the Jets will be tough right who knows how good Aaron Rogers is going to be he didn’t play last year he wasn’t particularly good in 22 he’s 40 coming off of an ailles lot of new pieces in that offense defensively I think their defensive line depth hit took a hit so we’ll see and then the Dolphins I think I once again believe the Dolphins are the biggest threat to the bills in the AFC East that’s a team with a lot to prove as well right they have to prove that they can finish they I mean they led the division for most of the season they were up three games with five to play and that evaporated so they have a lot to prove but I think they can do it and then I’m kind of writing off New England as a threat this year so the bills top odds to win the AFC East in terms of winning the conference winning the AFC Conference they have Buffalo at plus 750 that’s the fourth highest odds of any team at plus 750 Kansas City is plus 370 Baltimore number two at plus 500 Cincinnati at number three at plus 700 and then the bills at plus 750 I guess what surprises me here is Baltimore I know Baltimore was the one seed and have the reigning NFL MVP in Lamar Jackson but for all the conversations about the bills and roster turnover it’s worse with the Baltimore Ravens like nobody’s talking about this and I don’t understand it they lost three starters on their offensive line they’ve lost some pieces to their defensive line jvan Clowney’s gone they lost Patrick Queen at linebacker they lost Gino stone at safety like there’s plenty of questions with Baltimore in my opinion but they what they signed derck Henry they signed a running back an aging running back and everyone just romanticizes about Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry in the backfield and you completely forget everything that’s left the door for that football team including their defensive coordinator Mike McDonald I mean that was the best part of the Ravens last year was their defense and they lost their coordinator they lost a starting line linebacker it lost lost pieces in the front it lost pieces in the secondary like but nobody talks about it nobody wants to talk about it it’s just the bills right the bills are having the roster turnover we’ll turn we’ll turn our we’ll turn our ear to what’s going on in Baltimore so I don’t I don’t get that at all I understand Kansas City of course and if Joe Burrow’s healthy for the Bengals that’s going to be a tough team but I don’t know about Baltimore I think I think they’re super overrated going into the season and then lastly here in terms of Team success odds FanDuel has the bills at plus500 to win the Super Bowl seventh highest odds of any team in the NFL your top odds are the Chiefs and ners the teams that were in the Super Bowl last year they have them at plus 600 then there’s the Ravens plus 950 don’t understand it then you have the Lions at plus 1300 so the final four teams from last year right those were the conference Championship games Chiefs Ravens Niners Lions they think that those four teams are the most likely to win the Super bowl or have the best odds at least then they have the Bengals and Eagles at plus 1,400 and then you have the bills the bills coming in at plus500 I’ll give you the other teams in the AFC East they have the Jets 11th at plus 2000 the Dolphins 12th at plus 2400 and the Patriots 31st at plus 25,000 so the Bill’s still in the eyes of FanDuel in the top 25% of the league in terms of best odds to win the Super Bowl so I know a lot of people are writing off the bills feeling like this is a down year but FanDuel still has the bills projected to have the second most wins projected to have the best odds to win the AFC East one of the top four teams in the AFC and one of the top seven teams in the entire NFL when it comes to Super Bowl outs so I guess they’re not quite dead yet all right so that’s the team success odds on the other side of it we’re going to get into player props Josh Allen James Cook Dalton cancade projections so be sure to stick with me today’s episode is brought to you by better help comparison is the thief of joy and it’s easy to Envy other people’s lives might look like they have it all together on their Instagram but in reality they probably don’t therapy can help you 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Davis right but I don’t expect Josh Allen’s passing production to really dip to the point where he’s not at least knocking on the door so plus 2100 11th best odds when he was third in the NFL in passing yards in 2023 now speaking of the specific prop that they have for Josh Allen’s 2024 passing yards they have the over under set at what I think is an incredibly low number 3,750 and uh 3,750 point5 so the over under is 37505 I mean Josh Allen has shattered this every year over the last four seasons became since he became like you know a top end quarterback last season 4,300 yards 2022 4283 2021 4,4 47 2020 over 4500 they’re really setting this at 3,750 smash the over here folks I mean do they really think the bills are just gonna hand the ball off 60% of the time this is I mean this is a 17 Game season it’s Josh Allen I don’t get this at all now injury would be the thing that could deral this and that’s always what’s Difficult about season long over under projections like this but if Josh Allen’s healthy for like 15 games I think that he comfortably hits the over here so personally I do have action on this to be honest with you they have Josh Allen’s 2024 passing touchdowns they have the over under for those set at 27 and a half okay that’s another very low number in my opinion I know he only had 20 last year and again no Diggs and Davis but he’s 29 last year 35 in 2021 36 in 2022 37 in 2023 I mean he has hit the over in every season over the last four years and comfortably did it three times i’ I’d be very comfortable hitting the over on this one 27 and a half I don’t think people know what to do with the bills this year I don’t and I kind of get it right with Joe Brady and a newl looking Supporting Cast there’s certainly some unknown variables but I don’t think Josh Allen’s all of a sudden G to be like mediocre when it comes to starting quarterback production smash the over there another Josh Allen prop they have his 2024 rushing yards the over under set at 5.5 Josh Allen is hit over 500 passing yards each of the last three years excuse me rushing yards rushing yards rushing yards rushing yards last year was pretty close though 524 but then remember he went from like four rushing attempts per game with kend dorsy to like nine with Joe Brady and then in 2022 762 rushing yards 2021 763 rushing yards I’m pretty comfortable hitting the over here the last Josh Allen won for this segment is they do have him at plus 800 to be the NFL MVP that is the second best odds momes number one at plus 500 then it’s Josh Allen at plus 800 and then at number three you have CJ Stroud and Joe burrow tied at plus 10,000 so despite setting those over unders very very low in my opinion for passing yards passing touchdowns and rushing yards they still think he’s got the second best odds to be the NFL MVP so very interesting there could this be the year he does it I think what’s interesting about this in terms of Josh Allen and the probability of him being the NFL MVP in 2024 well first of all he’s been knocking on the door right he’s had votes and he’s not wanted obviously but he certainly had a case in each of the last four seasons the expectations are lower right like the the media no longer looks at the bills as like the Super Bowl favorite the last couple years everybody was kind of picking the bills to win the Super Bowl and now there’s been some roster turnover now there’s been you obviously a lot of turnover with the receiver Corp specifically and so if Josh Allen’s able to like step in and produce at a high level and do with new players around him that people think are worse where the expectations are lower I think that could skew things in the mind of Voters so he’s got to go do it but I feel like there’s a reasonable path forward to think that this could be the year that Josh Allen is your NFL MVP all right they got a couple in here for James Cook they have the uh James Cook at plus 2600 to lead the NFL in rushing yards plus 2600 and that’s 13th highest odds one year after James Cook was third in the NFL in rushing yards so just like with Josh Allen I’m not going to predict James Cook to win the NFL rushing title but he probably deserves to be higher than 13th on this list I think there’s only one running back last year that had more than 1,200 rushing yards it was Christian mcaffrey and James Cook was like 1100 and some change that was good for third in the NFL it’s a different it’s a different era of football but I think like like I said I don’t I’m not going to touch this bet because I don’t think he’s going to lead the NFL in rushing yards but he deserves to be higher than 13th in my opinion for James Cook’s 2024 rushing yards FanDuel has the over under set at 875 and a half that feels low to me and you know maybe there is a case that Ty Johnson and Ray Davis will eat into James Cook and his work load a little bit and that’s probably true but I don’t think he’s going to have like 300 yards rushing less than last year I still I still think he’s going to push for around a thousand yards give or take a little bit not fall this far underneath again injuries dictate this quite a bit but I think the over hits on James Cook’s rushing yards here and I definitely think that the over hits on what they have down for Dalton con Kade they have dton k kad’s 2024 receiving yards over under set at 775 A5 concade of course 673 yards as a rookie and I think he’s the one that is in line to claim the most opportunity in this passing game of any player especially picking up the slack for Stefan Diggs and Gabe Davis I did an episode end of last week projecting the Buffalo Bills Target distribution and I had Dalton Cade down for 120 targets if he comes close to 120 targets if he has 110 targets I think that he comfortably hits the over here and I have real action in on that so it’s interesting how they have the Bills team odds you know they paint a pretty good picture but some of these individual statistical projections feel a little bit low to me and that’s fine we’ll go take advantage and uh and hit on these overs and you know make a few bucks so there’s the player props piece of this on the other side of it there’s some team specials some very unique bets including a defensive bet so be sure to stick with me I love sports I love them so much I never want them to stop but as the playoffs wind down we get fewer games and the sports aren’t sportsing like I want them to but FanDuel lets me keep the sports going whenever I want all I have to do is open the app and dream up bets anytime that I’m in the mood and this summer fan is hooking up all customers with a booster bonus daily that’s right there’s something for everyone every day all summer long of course we’ve went through a bunch of bills opportunities that you can take advantage of over at FanDuel I’ve been enjoying uh some of the golf bets as well watching the tournaments on the weekend and there’s some fun specials that you can get in on with uh the golf events and even sometimes with Major League Baseball like who’s going to hit a home run the over under for run stuff like that it’s it’s really fun so check it out head on over to fand ./ lockon and start making the most of your summer FanDuel official sports betting partner of Major League Baseball all right folks they’ve got some team specials for the Buffalo Bills that I want to talk through in this segment some unique stuff here the first one is they have the bills at minus 120 so not great odds but minus 120 when I say not great odds I mean it is great odds and so the payouts not very good the bills to score one or more touchdowns in every regular season game you can get that at minus 120 for the bills to score one or more touchdowns in every regular season game they did that last year so if you bet on that last year it hit the year before no because the Jacksonville game right so of course there’s variability with all of this but I feel pretty good that the bills are going to score a touchdown all 17 games the next one is for the bills to sweep the jets during the regular season they have that at plus 165 so if you think the Bills take two from the Jets this year you can get in on that for plus 165 the bill swept the Jets last in 2021 they also did it in 2020 and then before that 2014 and 2015 totally possible but we’ve seen bad versions of the Jets beat the bills right that’s what makes me nervous you’ve seen it happen with like Zack Wilson as a starting quarterback in each of the last two seasons and so it’s that defense right it’s a Jets defense that gives Josh Allen some challenges and it doesn’t even matter how good their offense is they could stink out loud on offense and they’ve still been able to beat the bills so this feels like a stay away but the bills can absolutely sweep the Jets plus 165 you can get that at they have Greg rouso they have a prop available for him 10 or more sacks you can bet the uh you can bet on him to to get 10 or more sacks now he hasn’t done this this is his fourth season as a rookie he had four sacks in 2022 he had eight sacks and then this past season he had five sacks and of course the foot injury in week four really kind of made it tougher on him I’m gonna say probably stay away here but it wouldn’t surprise me would not surprise me at all I think he’s got that type of talent and I think this is a big year for him obviously um he’s extension eligible now and if he racks up sacks I mean that’s gonna push up his price tag I listen to Eric wood all the time and he says on the centered on Buffalo podcast he always says whenever they were getting ready to play an upcoming team when he played for the bills he said we’d always look at the guys that are in contract years because they play harder right they they they they strain for every opportunity because they know that those numbers are going to push up their price tag and they generally you know just bring it a little bit more and they wind up racking up the sacks and so I’m not saying that Greg rouso doesn’t play hard all the time he absolutely does but there’s certainly extra incentive this year but at the same time I think he probably gets 789 sacks it’s probably my my projection there but he he’s certainly capable here’s an interesting one good payout for this one Josh Allen they have a Josh Allen prop for him to throw 30 or more touchdown passes and score 10 or more rushing touchdowns they have that at plus 500 20123 here’s the challenge for me here it’s the rushing touchdowns 2023 I know that Josh Allen like set the record for rushing touchdowns in a season for a quarterback but that was the only time he’s ever hit double digit rushing touchdowns was last year and then last year was the one year over the last four where he didn’t hit 30 passing touchdowns he had 29 so you need this you need both of those numbers to hit for this this bet to hit at plus 500 and so I get nervous about the rushing touchdowns to be honest with you especially if they look at Ray Davis as like a good short yardage pack where he can contribute in that capacity this year I think it’s totally possible there’s decent odds but I’m guessing he falls short on one of those two metrics probably the rushing touchdowns the next one I find this one to be very very aggressive Keon Coleman to score 10 or more receiving touchdowns you can get that at plus 700 so there’s a great payout if this hits but you might just be making a donation here Keon Coleman a rookie and with Josh Allen as the bill starting quarterback there’s only been two double digit receiving touchdown Seasons 2021 digs 2022 digs notice I didn’t say 2020 digs he didn’t get it his first season with the bills I don’t think that Keon Coleman in his first season with the bills is going to score more touchdowns than Stefan Diggs did in his first season with the bills especially comparing a veteran to a rookie I’d stay away from that again the payouts good but I think you could just be making a donation if you uh if you bet the O bet for that to hit again there’s no over under here it’s just the odds plus 700 for him to hit 10 or more receiving touchdowns the last one is interesting they have the bills to have one or more passing touchdown in every reg regular season game they have that at plus 850 I think there’s a better chance of that happening than Keon Coleman getting 10 receiving touchdowns and that’s not really like a knock on Keon Coleman I think those reps are going to be competitive between him mvs M Mack Holland Chase Claypool I mean you’re talking about touchdowns they Dalton conade K Shakir I don’t think Keon Coleman’s gonna lead the bills and receiving touchdowns much less hit 10 of them so this one I like more the bills to have one or more passing touchdown in every regular season game you get that at plus 850 last season they did that in every the Josh Allen had a passing touchdown in every game except for the second Patriots game 2022 they did it in all but the first Jets game in 2021 they missed on the Jags and Falcons 2020 back-to-back weeks against the Jets and Patriots this has been close every year and I’m surprised that this is at plus 850 like in terms of the the team specials this is the one that has the big best payout and I think it might have the best opportunity to hit I’m not predicting that it will but the payout here is actually pretty good so there you have it looking at the bills through the lens of FanDuel betting lines and props thought it’ be a fun way to kind of look at some of the Dynamics for the upcoming season I hope that you enjoy it I hope that you’ll come back as always I ask that you share subscribe rate and review the podcast have a great rest of your day go bills and I look forward to catching up with you again real soon

How many wins will the Buffalo Bills have in 2024? Can they repeat as AFC East Champs? Can they win the AFC? How about the Super Bowl? What numbers are Josh Allen, James Cook and Dalton Kincaid producing? On today’s episode, Host Joe Marino dives into FanDuel’s 2024 Buffalo Bills future bets. The show is focused on the Buffalo Bills, Sean McDermott, Brandon Beane, Joe Brady, Josh Allen, AFC East, AFC, Super Bowl Odds, Keon Coleman, Gregory Rousseau, James Cook, Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, Ed Oliver and more!

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