[Article] Where Jakob Chychrun Fits On The Caps Blueline
September 23, 2024
[Article] Where Jakob Chychrun Fits On The Caps Blueline
2 comments
Interesting stuff. We’ll definitely see them mix up pairings early in the season but I’m sure the coaches are hoping Chychrun wins the top spot next to Carlson. If he can be 80% the player he was projected as a couple years ago that could be a killer top pairing.
If that happens though I’m curious where Fehervary ends up, because from my limited knowledge of Matt Roy it seems like Sandin would be the more complementary pairing with Roy, but Fehervary is an overall better player than Sandin and should be top four.
And of course that last starting spot will be an interesting battle – TVR, Alexeyev, Bear.
Depth is a good problem to have!
That initial part of the analysis is missing a really key piece of context – offensive zone starts. Here’s that first table with OZ Start% added in.
PARTNER|TOI W/ PARTNER|% OF TIME W/ PARTNER|xGF%Relative W/ PARTNER|OZ Start% —|—|—-|—-|—- Jacob Bernard-Docker (RHD) |432:30 |27.0% |-8.36xGF%|49.0% Thomas Chabot (LHD) |361:27 |22.6% |+4.34xGF%|67.8% Travis Hamonic (RHD) |265:30 |16.6% |-4.40xGF%|47.3% Erik Brannstrom (LHD) |152:48 |9.6% |+2.43xGF%|52.2% Jake Sanderson (LHD) |152:19 |9.5% |+11.64xGF%|56.7% Artem Zub (RHD) |113:20 |7.1% |-2.72xGF%|31.9%
Chychrun did better with Chabot and Sanderson in large part because he got sheltered minutes with them. His play with Chabot in particular really isn’t impressive at all given how much they were fed easy minutes. What stands out to me here as a positive is his time with Zub. It’s a small sample size, but playing with a very solid RHD stay-at-home type he was able to take *very* difficult deployments on a bad team and just about break even in xGF. We’ve got our own version of Zub now with Roy, so I think he’s the most logical starting partner for Chychrun. Keep Fehervary with Carlson so we’ve got one pairing that has extensive experience playing together, play Sandin with TVR, and you end up with three pairings that each have one puck mover and one stay-at-home type on each pairing so everything’s nicely balanced.
2 comments
Interesting stuff. We’ll definitely see them mix up pairings early in the season but I’m sure the coaches are hoping Chychrun wins the top spot next to Carlson. If he can be 80% the player he was projected as a couple years ago that could be a killer top pairing.
If that happens though I’m curious where Fehervary ends up, because from my limited knowledge of Matt Roy it seems like Sandin would be the more complementary pairing with Roy, but Fehervary is an overall better player than Sandin and should be top four.
And of course that last starting spot will be an interesting battle – TVR, Alexeyev, Bear.
Depth is a good problem to have!
That initial part of the analysis is missing a really key piece of context – offensive zone starts. Here’s that first table with OZ Start% added in.
PARTNER|TOI W/ PARTNER|% OF TIME W/ PARTNER|xGF%Relative W/ PARTNER|OZ Start%
—|—|—-|—-|—-
Jacob Bernard-Docker (RHD) |432:30 |27.0% |-8.36xGF%|49.0%
Thomas Chabot (LHD) |361:27 |22.6% |+4.34xGF%|67.8%
Travis Hamonic (RHD) |265:30 |16.6% |-4.40xGF%|47.3%
Erik Brannstrom (LHD) |152:48 |9.6% |+2.43xGF%|52.2%
Jake Sanderson (LHD) |152:19 |9.5% |+11.64xGF%|56.7%
Artem Zub (RHD) |113:20 |7.1% |-2.72xGF%|31.9%
Chychrun did better with Chabot and Sanderson in large part because he got sheltered minutes with them. His play with Chabot in particular really isn’t impressive at all given how much they were fed easy minutes. What stands out to me here as a positive is his time with Zub. It’s a small sample size, but playing with a very solid RHD stay-at-home type he was able to take *very* difficult deployments on a bad team and just about break even in xGF. We’ve got our own version of Zub now with Roy, so I think he’s the most logical starting partner for Chychrun. Keep Fehervary with Carlson so we’ve got one pairing that has extensive experience playing together, play Sandin with TVR, and you end up with three pairings that each have one puck mover and one stay-at-home type on each pairing so everything’s nicely balanced.