Mahomes has a 4-3 edge over Allen head-to-head, with Allen being 3-1 in the regular season, but 0-3 against Patrick in the playoffs. KC is a small underdog on the road in Buffalo this weekend.

Since Mahomes played his statistically worst career game at San Francisco (59% COMP, 154 yards, Rush TD, 2 INT, QBR 44.4), he is as good as can be expected, and will likely play better down the stretch, including this weekend.

Last 3 Games:
73.7% COMP (Career Avg: 66.7%)

273 YPG (Career Avg: 291.7)

6 TD, 1 INT

101.8 QBR (Career Avg: 102.4)

Interestingly enough, the Chiefs defense may not be the best candidate for Josh Allen to "get right" against. In Buffalo's last 5 games, with opponents like the Jets, Titans, Miami and Indy – Allen's production hasn't actually improved from the lofty numbers a few weeks ago. He didn't throw a pick all season, until the last three games, where he's thrown 4.

ALLEN LAST 3 GAMES
64.7% COMP

266 YPG

5 TD, 4 INT

86.3 QBR

I have no doubt this will be a competitive game, and Buffalo will get their yards. But I think Mahomes has made a pivot and is trending upward. Don't be surprised to see a really big day and KC breaks 30.

2 comments
  1. Mahomes’ has an 85 qb rating in the regular season matchups compared to Josh’s 97.

    Josh ups his game to a 99 qb rating in the Playoff matchups. Mahomes turns nuclear with a 126 rating.

    Someone tell Patrick it’s January.

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