Interesting video by Lance Brozdowski earlier this year when he predicted that Buehler would be a good fit for this Red Sox pitching staff

3 comments

1. 5:16 for the red sox portion

   Thanks for sharing this is good content.

2. Good stuff. There’s almost a guarantee they will trend his fastball percentage down.

3. Good video. Know who else would show up in this list of free agents starters with bad fastballs? Patrick Sandoval. Another pitcher who had negative pitch value from their 4-seamer – Aroldis Chapman. They are specifically targeting pitchers with low value 4-seamers in hopes that reducing it’s usage improves overall results.

   I think this approach works well for pitchers with multiple fast ball shapes (Houck). I’m curious to see how well it works for someone like Sandoval who throws a great changeup but uses a fastball to set it up. His slider has positive run value but he only throws the slider at 87 rather than the fastball at 93 so it will be less effective at setting up an 83mph changeup. I’m assuming Sandoval and Buehler will be similar pitchers with the Sox – cutter/slider, curve, change